Speed Ratings Systems

The Systems below can be used alongside the Inform Racing Speed Ratings.

 

Backing Systems

System 1

On the M+A column, top rated horses with a rating that is 3 or more bigger than the next top rated with only one qualifier allowed per race. No Maiden or N H Flat.

The M+A columns adds together the Master rating, (best rating from the last 12 months) and the Average rating, (average rating from the last three runs), and together gives an excellent overall rating taking into account long term and recent ratings.

This system has a typical strike rate of over 30%.

System 2

Any horse that is top weight in a handicap and also top rated on the Master rating column. The top weight, or joint top weight, is the horse that is carrying the biggest weight in a handicap race and is rated by the official handicapper as the best horse in the race. Allied with also having the best speed rating gives these horses a great chance. Remember this is for handicap races only.

System 3

Note any horse that has the same rating in both the Cse and Dis columns and these ratings are the highest in the race. If these ratings are also the horses Master rating, then this becomes an each way bet as long as the price is 8/1 or bigger. If there are two or more with the same top ratings, then ignore the race.

System 4

Any top 3 rated horse in the Lto column whose finishing position for its last race was 5th or worse. Here you have horses that ran in good races for speed and time but as they finished down the field will often be found at good prices. Many people ignore horses that came 5th, 6th, 7th or worse last time out but the speed ratings tell us that the form of many of these is far better than the placings would suggest. We have this information, most other punters don’t and we can capitalise on these horses time and time again.

You can adapt the rules here to horses beaten by so many lengths or horses going up in class. Overral you are looking for horse with a top 3 Lto figure whose previous run would suggest a win isn’t on the cards.

System 5

Look at the top 3 rated in the Master column. If any of these are also highlighted as top 3 in both the VDW rating columns (Ability and Form), then this is a bet. Only a bet if there are no more than two qualifiers in one race and back them both. A ‘0’ doesn’t count in the Form column even if it is highlighted.

System 6

Look at all of the ratings for all of the last three runs in a race and note the highest three ratings figures. Any horse that has one of these top three ratings and is 7/1 or better is a qualifier. This 7/1 stipulation is suggested for the system rules but you may decide that you will make this figure bigger or ignore it completely. Horses that have one of these figures at least have this rating in the bag and as it is one of their most recent runs it should be possible for the horse to achieve it again.

No Maiden races or N H Flat races.

System 7

Flat and All Weather races only.

Look for all races that are for four year olds and up. This will be shown by 4yo+ at the end of each race card heading.

Of these only back in races that are run over a distance of 5 furlongs, 6 furlongs, 7 furlongs or 1 mile. You will be backing the top 3 or 4 rated in the Dis (distance) column as long as there is only a maximum of 4 highlighted in bold. If there are 5 or more top rated horses in the Dis column at the off then you must leave this race alone.

Horses with proven form in races generally run at a decent gallop such as flat races up to 1 mile, can be relied upon to run to their form time and time again. By backing all those with a top rating at the distance, will ensure a high percentage of winners.

System 8

Flat and Jumps, Handicap races only.

All races with 8 to 12 declared on the Inform Racing race cards at the start of the day, so that 3 places are paid on Betfair.

Bet on these even if non-runners take the number to below 8 but do not adjust the selections due to non runners during the day. So if a selection is a non runner, ignore that race.

From all top and joint top 3 rated horses highlighted in the Lto column, (there could be three or more in a race), take the horse with the worst finishing position in it’s last race. You can see the finishing position of the horse by hovering your mouse over the Lto rating itself. Only bet on horses that came 2nd or worse last time out, ignore all horses that won last time out.

No minimum or maximum price brackets.

If there are two horses highlighted that both had the same last time out finishing position, back both. If there are more than two horses in a race with the same Lto finishing position then ignore the race.

Originally this was a place or each way betting system but currently results suggest the better strategy is to just back to win. It is up to you how you bet these.

 

Laying system 1

Flat and All Weather racing only

Only races for 3YO+, 4YO+ etc. and no Maiden races or Selling races.
Horses must have run at least 3 times, (have 3 ratings figures shown on the race card).
Horses must have run last time out between 3 and 99 days.
Rules
Take the lowest highlighted (top 3 rated) figures from the Avg column.
Lay any horse in the race whether it has a top 3 average rating or not, that has not achieved this figure or better in any of its last 3 runs.
You will have to decide on a maximum price that you lay these horses.

Ignore horses that have a ‘1’ as one of their last 3 ratings.

Example:
If the three figures highlighted in bold in the Avg column are 73, 72, 69 then any horse in the race that has not scored a rating of 69 or better in any of its last three races is a potential qualifier, depending on the price parameters you have chosen.

Laying System 2

Maiden races, especially for 2 year olds only, horses that have not scored 70 or more are often unreliable so any short priced runners that have not rated this high so far are worth taking on and laying. My suggestion is to lay only favourites or horses at 5/2 or less. Horse must have had at least two runs.

Laying System 3

1. Handicap races only, both flat and jumps. Any number of runners.

2. Sort the LTO column to bring the highest rating to the top, or just find the highest rating in the Lto column.

3. Lay the top-rated horse in the Lto column whose last finishing position was either 2nd or 3rd. You can find this by hovering your mouse over the Lto rating for this horse and look at the finishing position in that race.

4. Price restrictions. It must be between a BSP of 4.0 and 10.0 inclusive.

5. There can be more than one top rated horse in the Lto column but if there can only be one of the top-rated horses that finished 2nd or 3rd, otherwise ignore the race.

The thinking behind this is that a horse that came close last time out (2nd or 3rd) and achieved the highest rating of all the runners today, may have exerted itself to its maximum or at least more than the other horses and will not find any extra today. Finishing 2nd or 3rd will often mean the horse will start a shortish price today. If it is under 4.0 then it may also be fancied or connections know more than we do. Over 10 and the risk is too high as they do win at bigger prices sometimes. Between 4.0 and 10.0 seems to be the correct price bracket for laying these horses. If you don’t want to lay these horses, it is worth noting the system and the high number of horses that pass the rules and don’t win.

 

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