Systems

Systems and methods

All of these will give ideas on how to use the ratings

Backing 

1

On the M+A column, top rated horses with a rating that is 3 or more bigger than the next top rated with only one qualifier allowed per race. No Maiden or N H Flat races as there would be too many system qualifiers and many of these will be very short prices. Due to these races also not always having many ratings for the runners and plenty of newcomers, can be races to leave alone.

2

Any horse that is top weight in a handicap and also top rated on the Master rating column. The top weight, or joint top weight, is the horse that is carrying the biggest weight in a handicap race and is rated by the official handicapper as the best horse in the race. Allied with also having the best speed rating gives these horses a great chance. Remember this is for handicap races only.

3

Note any horse that has the same rating in both the Cse and Dis columns and these ratings are the highest in the race. If these ratings are also the horses Master rating, then this becomes a bet. If there are two or more with the same top ratings then back them all..

4

Any top 3 rated horse in the Lto column whose finishing position for it’s last race was 5th or worse. Here you have horses that ran in good races for speed and time but as they finished down the field will often be found at good prices.

5

Look at the top 3 rated in the Master column. This is the first three if there are more than 3 highlighted, so a race where you have horses on 78, 78, 77, 76, 76 all highlighted, just the 78’s and 77 horses count. If any of these are also highlighted as top 3 in both the VDW rating columns (Ability and Form), then this is a bet. Only a bet if there are no more than two qualifiers in one race and back them both and ‘0’ doesn’t count even if it is highlighted.

6

Look at all of the ratings for all of the last three runs in a race and note the highest three ratings figures. Any horse that has one of these top three ratings and is 7/1 or better is a qualifier. This 7/1 stipulation is suggested for the system rules but you may decide that you will make this figure bigger or ignore it completely. Horses that have one of these figures at least have this rating in the bag and as it is one of their most recent runs it should be possible for the horse to achieve it again.

No Maiden races or N H Flat races as there would be too many system selections.

7

Look for all races that are for four year olds and up. This will be shown by 4yo+ at the end of each race card heading. Of these only back in races that are run over a distance of 5 furlongs, 6 furlongs, 7 furlongs or 1 mile. You will be backing the top 3 or 4 rated in the Dis (distance) column as long as there is only a maximum of 4 highlighted in bold. If a race has more than 4 highlighted in bold type in the Dis column, this race must be watched for any non runners and if a number of non runners brings the highlighted horses down to 4 or less then you will back the top 3 or 4. If there are 5 or more top rated horses in the Dis column at the off then you must leave this race alone. If non runners bring the number of highlighted horses down to less than three, then you will have to find the next top rated horses yourself that are left in a race and always back a minimum of three.

Changing the rules to suit you.
You may wish to back in races for all older horses (3yo+ and 4yo+)
Also any distance or change the distances to suit you.
You may wish to only back in races where a profit is guaranteed where the prices of the three or four you are backing are all more than the number of bets you are placing.

 

Laying

1

Flat Racing only
Only races for 3YO+, 4YO+ etc. and no Maiden races or Selling races.
Horses must have run at least 3 times, (have 3 ratings figures shown on the race card).
Horses must have run last time out between 3 and 99 days.
No bet if all horses in the race are 9/1 or less.
No bet if one of the horses last three run speed figures was ‘1’.

Rules
Take the lowest highlighted (top 3 rated) figures from the Avg column.
Lay any horse in the race whether it has a top 3 average rating or not, that has not achieved this figure or better in any of its last 3 runs.
All horses must be at 8/1 or less at the ‘off’. This price limit is simply to make it easier to record results. You may use whatever price you wish to as a maximum or you may wish to use this as a place laying system too.

Example:
If the three figures highlighted in bold in the Avg column are 73, 72, 69 then any horse in the race that has not scored a rating of 69 or better in any of its last three races is a potential qualifier, depending on its price and the rules above.
Many of the qualifiers over 9/1 lose or finish unplaced so this my be an angle you wish to add to this system, especially laying horses to be unplaced.

2

Flat, All Weather and Jump Racing

Any Handicap apart from Selling Handicap, Maiden Handicap or a Nursery (which is a Handicap for 2 year olds). Every other type of Handicap – 3YO, 4YO, Novice Hurdle etc. – is ok.

Rules

Only look at horses numbered 1 and 2 on the race card. (The top two horses on the race card).
Qualifiers must have no rating figures as one of the top 3 rated from either the Master column, the three Lto columns, the Avg column, the M+A column or the Cse or Dis columns, highlighted in bold.

Qualifiers must have a Master Rating figure. (Horses that ran over 365 days ago last time out will not have a Master Rating figure.)
Horses must have run last time out between 3 and 99 days.
All horses must be at 6/1 or less at the ‘off’.

3

Maiden races, especially for 2 year olds only, horses that have not scored 70 or more are often unreliable so any short priced runners that have not rated this high so far are worth taking on and laying. My suggestion is to lay only favourites or horses at 5/2 or less. Horse must have had at least two runs.

4

1. Handicap races only, both flat and jumps. Any number of runners.
2. Sort the LTO column to bring the highest rating to the top, or just find the highest rating in the Lto column.
3. Lay the top rated horse in the Lto column whose last finishing position was either 2nd or 3rd. You can find this by hovering your mouse over the Lto rating for this horse and look at the finishing position in that race.
4. Price restrictions. It must be between a BSP of 4.0 and 10.0 inclusive.

5. There can be more than one top rated horse in the Lto column but if there can only be one of the top rated horses that finished 2nd or 3rd, otherwise ignore the race.

The thinking behind this is that a horse that came close last time out (2nd or 3rd) and achieved the highest rating of all the runners today, may have exerted itself to its maximum or at least more than the other horses and will not find any extra today. Finishing 2nd or 3rd will often mean the horse will start a shortish price today. If it is under 4.0 then it may also be fancied or connections know more than we do. Over 10 and the risk is too high as they do win at bigger prices sometimes. Between 4.0 and 10.0 seems to be the correct price bracket for laying these horses. If you don’t want to lay these horses, it is worth noting the system and the high number of horses that pass the rules and don’t win.