All Weather Betting Systems
Because the AW surfaces are far more consistent at each meeting, horses that run well at an All Weather course are more likely to do so again.
A horse that has won at an All Weather course and returns to race again within a few days, has a far greater chance of repeating that win than if running next time out on the turf, however when a horse wins, it is more than likely the handicapper will raise its rating so it carries more next time out.
If the trainer wants to get the horse out again quickly before the handicapper has a chance to assess the form, the horse will have to carry a penalty
When this happens you will see (6ex) or something similar depending on where you are viewing the cards which means the horse is carrying a 6lb penalty, before it has time to be assessed.
As this will only occur when a horse has won very recently it highlights a horse that is in recent winning form and therefore has a good chance of repeating that win, especially on the All Weather.
Increasing The Chances Of Success
Research suggests that the horse has an even better chance of winning again if it won by two lengths or more last time out, which makes sense.
However, the results are different depending on which All Weather courses you look at.
There are five courses where you can make a profit following these good winners that are running again quickly and carrying a penalty and these are Chelmsford, Kempton, Lingfield, Newcastle and Wolverhampton.
Southwell can be dismissed as the stats do not show as positive at this course and this is probably down to it's unique and deep, Fibresand surface and the recent winners we are looking for, coming off wins at the other all weather tracks that have faster synthetic surfaces.
So following horses that are carrying a penalty at either Chelmsford, Kempton, Lingfield, Newcastle and Wolverhampton, that won by two lengths or more last time out, does statistically show an overall profit.
In fact it shows an ROI profit, (Return On Investment), of just over 11%, which means that for every £100 you stake, you would make £11 profit. Not an absolute fortune but something you can definitely take to the bank and no one ever complained about small but steady profits.
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