Does a trainer’s recent form really change a horse’s chance — or is it just noise?Short answer: yes – but only sometimes. Trainer form is a real signal in UK racing, but it needs context. A trainer’s short-term winning drought – a trainer on the cold list – can matter, especially when it’s backed by […]
I gave a 40/1 winner as one of my daily selections yesterday. Myself and others who had backed it were very happy of course, but this post is not really about this one winner or me and my daily selections, but something I hope will give you some food for thought about your betting and […]
This article is an updated version of our 2024 post, refreshed with new insights, strategies, and results.Laying horses is a completely different game compared to backing them. It comes with a unique set of risks, especially if you’re laying at bigger odds. When a lay bet goes wrong, the payout can be significant, meaning you […]
If you’ve ever wondered whether backing the favourite is a smart way to profit in horse racing, you’re not alone. Favourites win roughly 35% of all UK races, but that also means around 65% of favourites lose. So how do you know if following the favourite is a path to profit—or a slow drain on […]
Dutching or Dutch Betting, is a betting expression that means to back more than one horse or outcome rather than just bet on the one.Before the betting exchanges emerged, dutch betting was used as a way of laying horses, by simply backing everything else in the race against the horse you wanted to ‘lay’.Now it […]
On my last post, 11th July ‘The Inform Racing Race Cards’, I discussed three methods that had recently provided good winning bets using the ratings and one of these was following top distance winners. On the Inform Racing race cards, there is a Distance column (Dis) and this gives the best speed rating for each […]
Van Der Wheil ratings or VDW ratings as they are usually known are a way of rating a horse by its class or ability and form. It was created quite a few years ago by the mysterious writer, Che Van Der Wheil and nicknamed the Flying Dutchman, who wrote his notes in the old Sporting Chronicle […]